BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Abilene Chr

Class: 1 Class Rank: 155 Conference: Western Athletic Record: (9-9) Overall: (15-14) Overall Strength =   38.66

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-09-2022 Home    W    30.04  89  37   ZZ 174 (  0-  2) Howard Payne           -7.82 *   59.82                      
  2 11-13-2022 Away    L    33.30  69  85    1  97 ( 22-  7) Rice                   -4.56    -11.44                      
  3 11-16-2022 Home    W    25.17  77  36   ZZ 157 (  0-  2) Univ of Southwest     -12.70 *   53.70                      
  4 11-20-2022 Away    L    36.11  70  76    1 149 ( 11- 18) Texas-San Antonio      -1.75     -4.25                      
  5 11-25-2022 Neutral W    47.56  66  61    1 122 ( 20- 11) Montana St              9.70     -4.70                      
  6 11-27-2022 Neutral L    18.96  38  54    1 202 ( 16- 15) Louisiana             -18.90      2.90                      
  7 12-02-2022 Home    W    33.53  78  67    1 295 ( 15- 14) Alabama St             -4.34     15.34                      
  8 12-07-2022 Away    L    38.06  61  71    1 112 ( 20- 11) New Mexico              0.20    -10.20                      
  9 12-11-2022 Away    L    30.73  81  87    1 224 ( 12- 18) Oral Roberts           -7.13      1.13                      
 10 12-19-2022 Home    W    52.84  76  36    1 354 (  5- 24) Nicholls St            14.97     25.03                      
 11 12-21-2022 Home    W    37.87  82  52   ZZ  51 (  0-  1) McMurry                 0.00 *   30.00                      
 12 12-29-2022 Away    W *  50.01  61  43    1 269 (  8- 21) Tarleton St            12.14      5.86                      
 13 12-31-2022 Away    L *  49.36  78  83    1  67 ( 25-  5) SF Austin              11.50    -16.50                      
 14 01-05-2023 Home    L *  30.33  66  69    1 209 ( 12- 16) Sam Houston St         -7.54      4.54                      
 15 01-07-2023 Home    W *  56.01  92  72    1 158 ( 14- 16) UT Arlington           18.15      1.85                      
 16 01-11-2023 Away    L *  29.87  74  85    1 157 ( 18- 11) Utah Tech              -7.99     -3.01                      
 17 01-14-2023 Away    W *  46.61  71  50    1 314 (  6- 23) Utah Valley             8.74     12.26                      
 18 01-21-2023 Home    W *  34.86  69  65    1 230 ( 12- 17) UTRGV                  -3.00      7.00                      
 19 01-26-2023 Away    L *  32.36  61  69    1 168 ( 15- 15) New Mexico St          -5.51     -2.49                      
 20 01-28-2023 Away    L *  35.05  59  68    1 140 ( 20-  9) Grand Canyon           -2.82     -6.18                      
 21 02-04-2023 Home    L *  36.24  53  66    1  67 ( 25-  5) SF Austin              -1.62    -11.38                      
 22 02-06-2023 Home    W *  47.49  73  46    1 314 (  6- 23) Utah Valley             9.62     17.38                      
 23 02-09-2023 Home    L *  36.67  75  77    1 136 ( 17- 12) Cal Baptist            -1.19     -0.81                      
 24 02-11-2023 Away    L *  31.98  71  75    1 230 ( 12- 17) UTRGV                  -5.88      1.88                      
 25 02-16-2023 Home    W *  44.88  78  60    1 269 (  8- 21) Tarleton St             7.02     10.98                      
 26 02-18-2023 Away    L *  32.13  73  82    1 158 ( 14- 16) UT Arlington           -5.73     -3.27                      
 27 02-23-2023 Home    W *  44.36  89  83 1  1 139 ( 20-  9) Southern Utah           6.49     -0.49                      
 28 02-28-2023 Away    W *  44.45  74  68    1 209 ( 12- 16) Sam Houston St          6.58     -0.58                      
 29 03-02-2023 Home    W *  31.25  49  43    1 288 (  5- 23) Seattle                -6.61     12.61                      
      Averages              37.87  70.8 64.3

Best game:   56.01 = 20 point win over UT Arlington
Worst game:  18.96 = 16 point loss to Louisiana
Team stdev:   8.84